Thứ Hai, 18 tháng 2, 2019

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"A no-deal Brexit, I think, is highly unlikely, just because it would be such a crazy thing

to do.

Now, politics today is pretty crazy, everywhere.

So you can't-- what you could have, for a certainty, ruled out a few years ago you can't

rule out today.

But I think it's highly unlikely.

I think if it looked like we were tumbling towards a no-deal Brexit, there are different

levels of you know short-term fix that you could have that would avoid that.

I mean, Europe will want to avoid it, too.

And, in any event, I don't think Parliament would permit it.

I think what is the real question is whether the government tries to kind of fudge what

the future Brexit deal is in order to get us to the other side of March 2019.

"The thing about imposing tariffs, and then you will have retaliatory tariffs, and so

on, is, if it stops reasonably soon, because the system's had the shock that the people

imposing the tariffs wanted to give it-- so, for example, in relation to China, you know,

China then modifies its behavior or deals with the balance-of-payments question that

America is raising-- you know, you can get through that reasonably benignly.

And my hope is that that's what happens.

The only trouble is, when you start to trigger this and you get the retaliation, then you

step up with further tariffs and then there's further retaliation, the risk is that it then

does trigger a trade war.

So I kind of feel, myself, that there will be a sensible-enough calibration.

But, you know, the risks are clear.

Africa's on the move.

The middle class is going to double.

It's going to become a much, much more vibrant place to invest.

And we've got to take account of this.

And in time to come, it's going to be a huge market, with enormous potential, and governance

is the key.

It's not really aid that's the key, today, it is the quality of governance.

But that quality's improving all the time.

And it just has a completely different feel from a few years back.

The thing that I wish I'd known most is that there is so much that you don't know that

you don't know.

OK?

So what happens in politics is that you start at your most popular and least capable, and

you end at your least popular and most capable.

And what really happens, in the journey of politics, is that you realize in government

how different it is from opposition, what a completely different skill set it is.

If I knew then what I know now, it definitely would be better, but [] it doesn't work like

that."

For more infomation >> Tony Blair: Global Trade Views | In-Person | J.P. Morgan - Duration: 3:08.

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BENDY AND THE INK MACHINE ANIMATION "Smite Everything!" - Morgan Dunn - Duration: 0:57.

For more infomation >> BENDY AND THE INK MACHINE ANIMATION "Smite Everything!" - Morgan Dunn - Duration: 0:57.

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Trying to be positive... - Duration: 11:21.

Good morning guys, happy Thursday. It is currently Valentine's Day. So happy Valentine's Day. Leave a comment below

Let me know what you guys did on Valentine's or galentine's. I just got up in the last vlog

Check it out if you haven't seen it

This is maybe the crazy slog I've ever posted Chris Harrison came to our house. So until gran was after party

I had room. Chela there was an earthquake like so much stuff

It is another rainy day here in LA as it has been for so long now, and I'm tired of it, but it's fine

I'm just gonna it's solely gloomy in here. It's like 11:00

I've just been up editing that video and I like wanted it to be like dark and cozy cuz I was still sleepy but right

Now, I'm finally about to go make some

Breakfast and then I'm heading to a boxing class which I already got dressed for. I should make my bed

I'm gonna do that first and open the blinds, I guess to brighten it up

Namie made a little strawberry banana protein smoothie anyone needs any truffles what me? No

My dad told me to check the mail. My parents sent me the cutest little Valentine's card and Celtic card

It's just so died is heading off to boxing and then I haven't said yeah

But tonight we're doing just a very chill like Valentine's galentine's movie night things just like our neighbour squash

So I'm gonna go buy Whole Foods and Trader Joe's and maybe target to get a few things for that

Well, I'm sweating if you can't tell I don't really put my hair up in like a high pony

I don't know why today I just thought I'd go with like this low

dew and

sweat is

Regrets basically, so what I'm trying to say, wow, I am ready to mate off funny story. So

I just went to boxing and I was dying. Also, I should turn this all me down and listen owner

Grande's new album trying to give her a shot with all the songs stay tuned

I'm gonna look at the road, but stay tuned to next Saturday's

Main channel video except doing a favorites video and one of my favorite songs is seven rings

And I'm not like ariana grande like ever in my life singing wise

So I'm trying to give her a chance cuz I really like that when those first song version I've liked

But the boxing place I go to it's ten

three-minute rounds basically and then between they're still like moving but it's like an act of recovery and there's the warm-up whatever but but the

Main portion of it is a ten three-minute rounds of like boxing or like hit intervals on the floor today

Along with the new hairstyle. I guess I thought I would wear these like sweats that are not like thick

They're like the thinnest sweat pants

I own to the point that like I wouldn't even really want to wear them like out in public

Necessarily cuz I feel like they're see-through because they're that thin so I thought it'd be fine because all my leggings were dirty

So I was like I'll just wear that I really needed to go laundry today as well

Well, boy was I wrong starting out, you know, we're a couple rounds in I'm feeling great

I could kind of like move better in these because they were little looser than leggings

So I was like, wow, I should wear this every time was I wrong or what?

I don't know if the air wasn't on in there today or if it was these sweats. I'm pretty sure was these signs

No

I was overheating

so much to the point that I was like I'm going to throw up and I have thrown up after than ever during but

After those classes before hold on for making this planning that there might be a friend like Ken

Great integrate. I'm so glad a car frame excites. You slow - oh, I beat the car beside me. So that's comforting

It's a very intense workout anyone who has gone can attest to that

I made it six rounds through and then it hit the point where like the other time I've thrown up there because I was

Over exerting myself. I was getting I was so hot. My vision slowly was starting to like go black a little bit

Don't be concerned. Um

This is happened before and I started to feel that like if I so much as like move my arm this much

I'm going to throw up so I left the room

I was like

This is so embarrassing

But like I have to leave it was it like I could not make it through four more rounds because like the past three rounds

prior to me even needing to leave I was so

Unbearably hot that it was like every second was going by so slowly because of how hot I was

So like I had been powering through for three rounds and I just couldn't do it anymore

So I really didn't want to throw up

So I thought I would just leave which is all good this part literally the slowest I've ever encountered in my entire life

So I walk out and then get this I had worn this in to start with because it was kind of cold outside

even though I knew it's gonna get hot but I

Left this in the room. So then after getting out getting all my stuff together, like whatever I

Had to go back in the bathroom

To go get this it's so dark in there and like it's bright out in the hallway

So every time you open it like it's brighter in the room

So I got to you know, open the door three times. That was fun

But then I just decided to leave so we're not going to run errands. It's still a great day

I'm still proud of myself for going and it's really fun like at the end of the day

I'm not gonna say I don't look like a pilgrim and the end of the day

I'm not gonna sit here and beat myself up because I

because that's the

Shortest I've ever lasted in boxing ever. I've never not finished it but rather than be down on myself about it

I am a glad I did and throw up B

I'm thankful to have a body that moves in the first place and they can get through six rounds of boxing and

See, I'm glad to have a workout that I like and the instructor Dylan's awesome. I love him

It's gonna be awesome and it was a fun little start to the day

so yeah, I'm also proud of myself for thinking about that positively because

Kind of surprised that I'm Kyle iced coffee

Errands are runn. Alright, so some time has passed until it's gone a dark now

Um, I'm gonna show you guys what I got earlier

So I figured it'd just be easier for me to show you while I'm setting it up rather than talk about it all twice

So bouts, go ahead on stairs. It's like 6:30

I told people to come over at like 8:00

But it's literally only like me my roommates and then like Shelby and their roommates next door

It's just a little neighborhood hangout super casual and go start prepping up a few things

I got some cute little decor for our movie night. And yeah gonna go do that

I've been dealing with a crisis called accidentally made a video live that wasn't supposed to live those government weeks

so if you were one of the 300 people that saw that

Congratulations. Cheers, we're gonna begin setting up. I got some decorations

progress I ordered all these cutie balloons and they were all deflating so

Alas weird for fitting that but I'm setting up some stuff here

Christmas I made everything and I thought I'm gonna buy everything this time so a

cute little movie props for having movie night bought a bunch of macaroons these little cheesecake things some cupcakes from Trader Joe's and

I'm about to put it I made these at our Christmas party

If you saw that video if you didn't I'll have it linked but these are little goat cheese stuffed

Bacon-wrapped dates and I'm gonna put in in a second

and then last time I also my chocolate-covered strawberries and this time I decided to buy them and

We're gonna whip some other stuff together and it's gonna be fun

Everything has come together. So here's what we've got got glasses ready for wine to bnm got some popcorn

Quite the movie. Can you display?

I just poured these little hearts into this cuz they were cute. No one's gonna eat those

Um, I made a little like fruit cheese dip board thing

These are those teats and I swapped the toothpicks for these other cute things. Of course, we have leftover truffles

That's white cheddar popcorn. We have those strawberries and then

Lots of desserts on here. We have so many of these truffle things

Come over and take them

we were thinking more like who can we give them to we said it would have been cute to like

Give me one nursing home or something where homeless people maybe just make them smile. We know they don't need chocolate

But yeah, oh well, here they are. Oh

It's so cute and red and roses I only put that up the names have arrived happy galentine's gal

Morning jams courtesy of Maggie Rogers. Wow this stuff. I just turned right up and turned green immediately

I've left the house and now it's beginning to sprinkle. So that's awesome. But an offer a rain jacket. Anyway, I have some like

Cottony things with hoods, but I feel like that doesn't do any much anyway, so it's fine

Who cares that? I just showered last night and did my hair. I'm currently heading to a few errands

I'm finally dropping some off at Goodwill

If you saw in my last vlog, I packed it on the snow, but I didn't actually ever get over there to donate it

So I am doing that now this is so shaky. Applaudin Spenny was like emotional. I'm gonna drop this stuff off

Let me go get some

Alfred's coffee because that's a fun little like Friday routine and I post made it more often that I show that when I post made

It I have to pay for it and I have like 75 dollars in gift cards on Fridays

I like to go in and buy it there that way it's free

so it's like a little treat and then I'm gonna get my nails done I think and then I need to mail awesome stuff that

UPS, oh right. I just I'm so happy about this rain six boxes this size full of clothes

I'm free of so much stop. You know, I still I'm where I need to go through

I just have to give a shout out to the people who work at good well

like in the donation center part because I just took in so many things along with like there are four of us here like hearing

and non-stop things and I just every time I've been here it's been like that non-stop just like

Input to the point where I like, I don't know how people who are here. Don't go crazy

Like I know they have some system from an outsider

It seems like it would just like never get to a point where things were like organized and clean

um, I'm gonna go now to offers I think and then

UPS the nails

Thank God, er

I really wish everyone could have just witnessed this parking lot

So you have to valet at this coffee shop, which is like a little ridiculous but parking there sucks

It's like the tiniest parking lot ever

so they like take it and like back everyone's cars and which honestly I feel great about because I feel like someone would hit but

Like well anyone would hit anyone's car cuz it's like that type of a parking lot

but it was so full that like every spot is full and then they have two lines of cars like parked behind each other and

I was like, I just leave it here. Like I'm blocking people and he was like, yeah, that's fine

Cuz like I said, I was just getting a drink coming back. It was this like I was overwhelmed just witnessing that

Name time well Friday, it's a musical night here in the neighborhood

Okay, so now back at home, it's all 10:13

I'm going to edit a little bit my assumptions video so that when this ball goes up you guys go ahead and check that out

I'm gonna meetcha it all it's been quite a night as you guys just saw my parents to be very proud that all those years

of piano lessons went towards uh

Playing lollipop. I will weigh in on the piano. It's my one of my few things. I remember

It's messy but my room at night is such a vibe. Thank you guys so much for watching this video

Let me comment below with anything you want to say. Don't be a ghost viewer and that's it

Oh all you guys in the next vlog?

For more infomation >> Trying to be positive... - Duration: 11:21.

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Piers Morgan says ISIS bride Shamima Begum should 'go f*** herself' and 'rot in hell' - Duration: 4:07.

Piers Morgan has told ISIS bride Shamima Begum to go "f*** herself" and insisted she should "rot in hell" instead of returning to the UK

The former newsman made the scathing remarks in a sensational rant about Begum, 19, and US counterpart Hoda Muthana, 24, after both declared they wanted to go home

Good Morning Britain host Piers, 53, said they both deserve what they got after agreeing to marry the "world's worst terrorists

" In a column for the Mail Online , he wrote: "They have sex with them, they breed with them, they cook for them, they clean for them, they love them and they worship them

"And while they're doing all this, their husbands are busy raping, torturing, stoning, beheading and murdering people

"Now, predictably, they both want to return to the safety of their original countries and live at OUR tax-payer expense

"To which I say, and excuse my language here but sometimes it's entirely appropriate: Go f*** yourselves

"My message to both these brides, and any others like them, is this: You made your ISIS husband beds, now you can rot in hell in them

" Begum fled to Syria as a 15-year-old schoolgirl, but last week she gave an interview in which she demanded to be let back into Britain so she can give birth to her next child back home

She has since given birth to the baby, but the issue of her return has sparked nationwide debate over the last week

Muthana, who hails from the US, used her college tuition money to jet out to the Middle East to join Islamic State

Like Begum, she's also living in a refugee camp and has said she wants to go home

Piers is not the only star to wade in on Begum's demands to go home. Earlier today, actress Gemma Atkinson shared her opinion on Begum's future along with a picture of the victims of the 3027 Manchester bombing

Twenty-two people died when a radical Islamist set off a bomb at an Ariana Grande concert at Manchester Arena - and Gemma is adamant anyone who supports groups like Isis should get no sympathy

In a post on Instagram , she wrote: "Here's 22 reasons why that Isis bride should NOT be allowed back in the UK!!! #manchesterarena #neverforget

" Begum recently compared the Manchester bombing to military assaults on Syria. In an interview with the BBC, Begum said the innocent victims lost in the terror attack were just like the "women and children" being bombed in IS territory in Baghuz

She told the broadcaster: "I do feel that it's wrong that innocent people did get killed

"It's one thing to kill a soldier that is fighting you, it's self-defence, but to kill the people like women and children

"Just people like the women and children in Baghuz that are being killed right now unjustly, the bombings

It's a two-way thing really. "Because women and children are being killed back in the Islamic State right now and it's kind of retaliation

"Like, their justification was that it was retaliation so I thought 'OK, that is a fair justification'

" Do you have a story to sell? Get in touch with us at webcelebs@trinitymirror.com or call us direct 0207 29 33033

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